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Increased govt borrowing may land annual national budget in a vicious credit cycle

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May 29, 2000 

   

Dhaka, May 28 (UNB) – Increased government borrowing stakes may land annual national budget in a vicious credit cycle, financial experts cautioned today.

 

“Maximum of the net credits from the banking system, for the first time in the current fiscal, accounts for the public sector compared to the private sector,” said eminent economist Prof Wahid Uddin Mahmud, refraining from disclosing the figure.

 

However, informed sources say the public-sector borrowings stood at around Tk 5,000 crore in July-May period of the outgoing fiscal 1999-2000.

 

“The budget may lead to the vicious cycle of credits and thus lose its credibility if the borrowings exceed the permissible limits,” said the Economics teacher of Dhaka University, who is also a member of the advisory council on the Finance Ministry of the government.    

 

Addressing a seminar he observed the interest on the borrowed bank money would have to be paid from the revenue budget.

 

Bangladesh Institute of Bank Management (BIBM) organised the seminar on “Politics in Bangladesh and Changing Pattern of Banking” in its conference room.

 

Chaired by BIBM director general Dr Muinul Islam, the seminar was also addressed Dr Atiur Rahman of Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS) and Dr Tawfique Ahmed Chowdhury of BIBM. Journalist Ajoy Das Gupta presented the keynote.

 

Prof Mahmud said analysing political influence behind the unpaid loans was not possible at all for want of necessary information – when the credits were given.

 

Citing a study conducted by BIBM recently on some 150 defaulters, he said 80 per cent of the loans were given under political and trade union influences while only 20 per cent could avail the credit facilities directly from the banks.

 

Out of the total directed loans, ministers influenced 46 per cent, parliament members 35 per cent, ruling party leaders 13 per cent and labour leaders 4 per cent, he told the function quoting the survey.

 

The study report is not yet published.

 

“The forces behind the bad debts could be traced if the debts were found to be influenced,” said the Economics professor.

 

He said the competitiveness in deposit mobilisation by the commercial banks increased in present times due to liberalised banking system, which is not being seen in credit distribution.

 

He said deregulation in the banking sector did not help increase the efficiency in the banking system and reduce the difference between the rates of deposit and lending. Instead, the gap widened from 6-7 per cent to 7-8 per cent.

 

 


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